EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Rises toward 186.00 after rebounding from ascending channel bottom

EUR/JPY appreciates after two days of gains, trading around 185.80 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. Technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the currency cross remains within the ascending channel pattern, signaling an ongoing bullish bias. The EUR/JPY cross is maintaining a bullish near-term tone as it holds above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 59.45 stays in positive territory, suggesting firm but not overstretched upside momentum. The EUR/JPY cross may explore the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 187.70, followed by the all-time high of 187.95 set on April 17. On the downside, the EUR/JPY cross may test the immediate support at the lower boundary of the ascending channel around 185.50, followed by the nine-day EMA of 185.07 and the 50-day EMA at 184.70. A break below this confluence support zone may cause the bearish reversal, potentially pressing the currency cross down toward its nine-month low of 179.37, recorded on August 3. Strategists at Scotiabank observe that the recent Yen narrative is evolving, with markets moving away from the summer’s emphasis on official action. They note that "the market narrative appears to be shifting from the official intervention that dominated through much of the summer," with participants "now tightening their focus on fundamentals into the September 18 BoJ meeting." This refocusing on underlying drivers, rather than headline intervention risk, is increasingly shaping positioning in JPY ahead of the policy decision.